Feb 3, 2012

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EDITOR’S NOTE: While the administration, realtors and others are trying to paint lipstick on the pig, the reality is that the housing market is as weak as ever, falling further and further in a death spiral. The number of strategic defaults projected for 2012 is in the millions, meaning that despite the incalculable pressure on prices that already exists, the housing market is going to get worse for years to come.

As stated by an increasing number experts, the only way to head off this third housing crisis in as many years is to offer something meaningful to homeowners to stay in their homes and keep paying the mortgage. That isn’t going to happen until investors get out of their passive role in this mess and start demanding answers about where the money went when the mortgage was funded, where the money went when it was getting paid, and how much money was collected from third party obligors as set forth in the PSA and Prospectus.

Unions and pension funds are the ones getting hurt most by this as they have hundreds of millions of dollars to declare in losses — unless they exercise their right to collect true information and bring lawsuits to recover it. They can start with realizing that their interests converge with those of homeowners and stop this march toward foreclosures in which everyone loses except those who never invested a dime.

Home prices fall for fifth consecutive month

Tara Steele

Home prices decline in 2011

With the release of the CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI®) report for December, a full-year picture is now available for all price changes in 2011. According to the CoreLogic, the HPI report reveals that including distressed sales, home prices in the U.S. decreased 4.7 percent in 2011 compared with December 2010. With distressed sales excluded, home prices still decreased 0.9 percent in 2011, showing the extent of the impact of distressed sales on home prices last year.

For the month, home prices fell 1.4 percent, marking the fifth consecutive monthly decline, with distressed sales prices rising 0.2 percent, the first monthly gain since July of 2011, marking a silver lining in December’s report.

This report shows home prices continued their slide and CoreLogic notes “that home prices continued the trend of year-end decreases—this is the fifth consecutive year with a decrease in the HPI.”

“While overall prices declined by almost 5 percent in 2011, non-distressed prices showed only a small decrease. Until distressed sales in the market recede, we will see continued downward pressure on prices,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic.

Montana sees highest appreciation levels

Including distressed sales, the five states with the highest appreciation were Montana (+4.4 percent), Vermont (+4.0 percent), South Dakota (+3.1 percent), Nebraska (+2.5 percent) and New York (+1.7 percent). Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the highest appreciation were Montana (+7.7 percent), South Dakota (+3.5 percent), Indiana (+3.3 percent), Alaska (+3.1 percent), and Massachusetts (+2.9 percent).

Including distressed sales, the five states with the greatest depreciation were Illinois (-11.3 percent), Nevada (-10.6 percent), Georgia (-8.3 percent), Ohio (-7.7 percent), and Minnesota (-7.5 percent). Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the greatest depreciation were Nevada (-9.7 percent), Minnesota (-5.2 percent), Arizona (-4.9 percent), Delaware (-4.2 percent) and Michigan (-3.5 percent).

Including distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the national HPI (from April 2006 to December 2011) was -33.7 percent. Excluding distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the HPI for the same period was -24.0 percent.

The five states with the largest peak-to-current declines including distressed transactions are Nevada (-60.0 percent), Arizona (-51.9 percent), Florida (-50 percent), Michigan (-43.7 percent), and California (-43.5 percent). Of the top 100 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) measured by population, 81 are showing year-over-year declines in December, one more than in November.